Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.009207 0.010923 0.013008 0.015772 0.019413 0.024150 0.030968
2025-06-15 0.006919 0.008872 0.011530 0.015559 0.021807 0.031709 0.050038
2025-06-22 0.005518 0.007398 0.010134 0.014646 0.022451 0.036732 0.069222
2025-06-29 0.004818 0.006702 0.009603 0.014752 0.024604 0.045389 0.104760
2025-07-06 0.004392 0.006311 0.009420 0.015325 0.027794 0.058327 0.172519
2025-07-13 0.004144 0.006142 0.009542 0.016461 0.032675 0.079754 0.332092
2025-07-20 0.003858 0.005859 0.009398 0.017016 0.036538 0.102936 0.635281
2025-07-27 0.003561 0.005511 0.009066 0.017073 0.039184 0.125901 1.211269
2025-08-03 0.003318 0.005223 0.008796 0.017192 0.042131 0.155643 2.734895
2025-08-10 0.003045 0.004848 0.008296 0.016637 0.042725 0.175595 5.642759
2025-08-17 0.002769 0.004439 0.007673 0.015642 0.041411 0.183050 9.961395
2025-08-24 0.002555 0.004130 0.007218 0.014987 0.041085 0.198079 24.781896
2025-08-31 0.002429 0.003990 0.007135 0.015401 0.045547 0.269180 17833.976800
2025-09-07 0.002267 0.003766 0.006846 0.015198 0.047596 0.333074 NaN
2025-09-14 0.002077 0.003470 0.006358 0.014314 0.046154 0.354097 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001974 0.003335 0.006215 0.014416 0.049534 0.471498 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001908 0.003269 0.006219 0.014971 0.055864 0.730629 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001875 0.003268 0.006375 0.016071 0.066814 1.444337 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001815 0.003201 0.006361 0.016608 0.075256 2.684101 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001737 0.003090 0.006223 0.016663 0.080568 4.575050 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001669 0.002994 0.006107 0.016779 0.086822 9.063880 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001579 0.002845 0.005840 0.016241 0.086892 13.086333 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001480 0.002667 0.005482 0.015278 0.082208 13.263836 NaN